Exactly the same thing happened when we allowed East European migrants to arrive – the ‘no one will come’ turned into a flood of millions.
The latest CER report notes that excluding the US from the analysis reduces the estimated hit from 2.9% to 2.2%, while excluding Germany (and thus increasing the weight on the US) increases it to 3.4%. As result, ‘because of this rising degree of error, this will be the last update in the CER series on the cost of Brexit’.
The whole of agri-food sector exports to the EU comprise only 1% of output of goods and services in Northern Ireland or in other words 4% of sales to the outside world. Even so, almost one billion pounds of business is at stake and 5,000 jobs could be at risk plus parts of farmer’s incomes if the whole sector were to go under.
The first step is to make sure that the Prime Minister has the full power to bind the United Kingdom and to obtain the best result through his negotiators. You cannot have a Prime Minister whose moves are undermined by reports of a Parliament that will not accept no deal.
You could make the same insinuations of bad faith against almost anybody. For example, Labour is heavily dependent on money from trade unions. The CBI gets most of its money from big business. Some recent Brexit work by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) has been funded by the Peoples Vote campaign.
Legal critics of the judgement have pointed out that the Supreme Court has casually dispensed with the fundamentals of the ‘political constitution’ that was established following the ‘Glorious Revolution’ of 1688. In that constitution the Queen in parliament is sovereign.
Almost without exception, all our senior judges grew up in the university world of the 1970s, where largely left-of-centre law faculties regarded as axiomatic the idea that the future must lie in academic human rights discourse, technocratic control by administrative judges of elected ministers, and above all the continued development of the European project...
The last Conservative MP in the seat of Newcastle-under-Lyme was Charles Donaldson-Hudson. A JP and member of the landed gentry, he held it from 1880 to 1885. Yet when the autumn election finally arrives, Newcastle - a Labour bastion ever since - will be one of the Tory party’s top target seats.